A = STATE B = % OF STATE BUDGET RECEIVED FROM FEDERAL GOVERNMENT C = % TAXES WOULD INCREASE TO MAINTAIN SERVICES D = COMMENTS A B C D NORTHEAST Connecticut 15% 11.2% Tax-cutting governor needs federal cash. Leans no. Delaware 18 7.2 GOP House, Dem. Senate. Major battleground. Maine 29 17.5 Dem. House, GOP Senate, Ind. governor. Leans yes. Maryland 20 9.9 Dem. stronghold. Too many federal employees fear salary cuts. Massachusetts 21 12.6 Taxachusetts, home of the Kennedys. Nah. New Hampshire 34 17.6 New state motto will be “Ratify or Die!” Certain yes. New Jersey 20 12.7 Gov. Whitman supports if D.C. eases burdens on states. New York 28 17.4 Would lose whopping $8.2 billion. Leans no. Pennsylvania 27 12.7 GOP legislature leans yes, despite big federal $$ losses. Rhode Island 31 21.4 Dem. legislature turned back previous efforts. Probable no. Vermont 33 17.4 Doesn’t even have a local balanced-budget rule. Leans no. West Virginia 34 20.6 Home of porkmaster Sen. Byrd can’t afford to lose govt. $$. No. SOUTH Alabama 58% 16.4% Leans yes, but could lose a ton of federal cash. Arkansas 28 16.5 Democratic legislature and governor. Considered a tossup. Florida 21 10.2 Will pass faster than you can yell “unfunded mandate.” Georgia 27 12.0 Newtland is controlled by Dems, but will vote yes anyway. Kentucky 32 14.5 Could lose 11% of its budget. Tossup. Louisiana 33 27.8 Once supported, then opposed, now supports. Could change. Mississippi 41 20.8 Could lose 14% of revenue, but conservative Dems lean yes. North Carolina 25 11.1 Conserv. state, but Research Triangle could lose big. Tossup. Oklahoma 26 12.4 Legislature is Democratic but conservative. Probable yes. South Carolina 30 14.3 Ratification is as certain as Strom’s virility. Tennessee 35 19.5 Dem. legislature, but state is trending right. Probable yes. Texas 27 14.0 510,000 kids could lose Medicaid. But Bush’s state votes yes. Virginia 17 8.2 Ollie lost, but state’s still right- wing. Certain yes. MIDWEST Illinois 21% 11.6% GOP legislature. Has resisted in the past. Tossup. Indiana 32 13.8 Home of Quayle is certain to vote yes. Iowa 22 10.9 Many old folks will rebel if soc. sec. seems endangered. Kansas 27 13.0 Beloved Sen. Kassebaum opposes, but state leans yes. Michigan 30 13.2 Newly Republican legislature. Likely yes. Minnesota 21 9.4 Home of Humphrey liberalism. But he’s dead. Tossup. Missouri 27 15.5 Passed similar amendment in 1983. Likely yes. Nebraska 23 13.3 “Nonpartisan” legislature. How quaint. Probable yes. North Dakota 33 19.7 State budget slammed, but GOP legislature will vote yes. Ohio 24 14.4 Medicaid gets slammed, but GOP legislature leans yes. South Dakota 39 24.7 May force tax hike, but new GOP legislature leans yes. Wisconsin 23 10.3 Had resisted in past, but new GOP majority leans yes. WESTAlaska 19% 9.8% New GOP legislature. Certain yes vote for ratification. Arizona 30 10.4 Likely yes, despite many seniors who may lose bennies. California 34 9.2 A million kids may lose Medicaid. Leans no. Colorado 28 11.8 A near-certain yes. Hawaii 13 6.8 No. No. No. Idaho 32 9.9 Yes. Yes. Yes. Montana 29 19.8 Voted against amendment before. But now leans yes. Nevada N.A. 6.2 Conservatives outnumber Sin City gamblers. Yes. New Mexico N.A. 12.9 Legislature is Democratic, but often conservative. Tossup. Oregon 16 12.2 Legislature is Republican, but often liberal. Tossup. Utah 23 11.4 Will be among the first to ratify. Washington 21 8.4 Split legislature. Democratic governor. Tossup. Wyoming 24 18.7 More cattle than people. But they still get a full vote. Yes.
DATA IS FOR FISCAL YEAR ENDING 1993. SOURCES: NAT’L ASSOCIATION OF STATE BUDGET OFFICERS, THE TREASURY DEPARTMENT, THE NAT’L TAX LIMITATION COMMITTEE, THE HERITAGE FOUNDATION
