Line: Kentucky -13.5, Total: 123 (check our odds page for current college basketball point spreads and totals)

Tip-off from Bridgestone Arena in Nashville is at 1 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Kentucky is the unanimous No. 1 team in the country and the only squad to receive SEC tourney odds at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook – it is literally Kentucky vs. the field.

The Don Best/Linemakers Power Ratings have Kentucky as 6 points better than any other team in the country on a neutral court, 14 better than Florida. 

The Wildcats (31-0 SU, 17-13-1 ATS) haven’t had everything come easy to them this season. They needed single and double OT in their first two SEC games, and were just 3-8 ATS in their first 11 conference games overall.  

The last seven contests have been a different story, as Kentucky has gone 6-1 ATS with an average margin of victory of 21 points. The insertion of freshman forward Trey Lyles into the starting lineup has been a big factor.

The OVER is 9-3 in Kentucky’s last 13 games after the UNDER started 15-4. 

Florida (16-16 SU, 10-19-2 ATS) is the No. 8 seed in this tourney, dispatching No. 9 Alabama on Thursday (69-61 as 4.5-point favorites). Michael Frazier II came off the bench in his second game back after returning from injury, but scored just five points. 

The Gators were just 3-11-1 ATS in their previous 15 games, including a 67-50 loss at Kentucky as 16.5-point dogs to end the regular season. They got a home cover against Kentucky in early February, 68-61 as 8-point dogs. 

The Linemakers’ lean: In both games vs. Kentucky this season, Florida accomplished want it wanted: slow the pace and give itself a chance to stay close. They lost both games (covered one) and kept one of the games UNDER. Kentucky was an UNDER team all season until recently, but we think the Wildcats take their great defense to the next level in the postseason, a scary notion for opponents. We like Kentucky to roll here, but UNDER is probably the better play.    

Michigan vs. Wisconsin, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN 

Line: Wisconsin -14, Total: 123

The Big Ten tourney is being played at the United Center in Chicago. Wisconsin is the top seed and No. 6 in the nation. Michigan is the ninth seed. The Badgers barely survived the only meeting this year, 69-64 OT as 10.5-point road favorites on January 24. 

The Wolverines (16-15 SU, 13-16 ATS) upset Illinois in the second round of the tourney on Thursday, 73-55 as 4.5-point dogs. They’ve won and covered two straight and could be finding their groove after losing starters Caris LeVert and Derrick Walton Jr. to injuries in January.

The Badgers (28-3 SU, 16-14-1 ATS) have found their offense the last three games, scoring 72.0 PPG while shooting 50.6 percent from the field. The OVER went 2-1 after the UNDER was 6-0 in their previous six (scoring 61.5 PPG). Bench scoring is still a major issue, with Traevon Jackson (ankle) not expected to return for this tourney after being out since mid-January.

Indiana vs. Maryland, 6:30 p.m. ET, Big Ten Network 

Line: Maryland -2, Total: 147.5

Maryland is the No. 2 seed in this tourney and ranked 8th in the country. Indiana is the 7th seed and covered both meetings against the Terps this year (1-1 SU). 

The Hoosiers (20-12 SU, 15-15-1 ATS) had a big 71-56 win as 5.5-point favorites over Northwestern in the second round. That snapped a three-game losing streak (both SU and ATS) and kept them in contention for a March Madness bid. A win against Maryland would likely secure their invite. 

Maryland (26-5 SU, 11-15-2 ATS) is peaking at the right time with a seven-game winning streak, including a 59-53 home triumph over Wisconsin as 5.5-point dogs. The Terrapins are also on their best ATS stretch of the year, 3-0-1 in the last four. 

The Linemakers’ lean: Maryland has been the better team throughout the season and is in better current form.  Having lost to Indiana once this season and narrowly escaping with a win at home, the Terps won’t be taking the Hoosiers lightly today.  They’ll also be fresh of a bye, while Indiana has to come back with less than 24 hours rest.  Feels like a good spot for Maryland, so we’ll lay the bucket here.

Three more leans from The Linemakers….

12 p.m. ET - A-10 Quarterfinals (Brooklyn. NY)   Davidson -8.5 vs. La Salle: This line is right where it should be, but sports books have been behind the curve with Davidson all season. Eventually, the a rating is supposed to catch up with a team, but with Davidson, not even the 12 points added since the beginning of season have been enough. They have won and covered their past nine games and 22 of 26 lined games overall to make them the best cover team in the land. No reason to stop riding them now. The last meeting between the two teams was Feb. 4 at La Salle, and Davidson won 77-69 (-1.5). The play is on Davidson, again.

2:30 pm ET - A-10 Quarterfinals (Brooklyn, NY)VCU (-2.5, 124) vs. Richmond: Richmond won both meetings during the regular season as underdogs, and while we do like VCU to cover the short number – even though they have failed to cover their past six games – the better play is UNDER, as this game figures to be played at a very slow pace. VCU’s rough offense and strong defense have kept its past four games UNDER, and one meeting vs. the Spiders stayed UNDER and the other should have. The Feb. 25 meeting, a 52-52 game at the end of regulation, needed to double overtime to send the game OVER. Richmond plays at a slower pace than VCU and has stayed UNDER in its past three. The top play here UNDER 124.

2:30 pm ET - Big-10 Quarterfinals (Chicago, IL)Purdue (-5.5, 133) vs. Penn State:  A lot has changed since these teams met on Jan. 17, an 84-77 Purdue (+1) win in overtime at Penn State. The Boilermakers were a squad trying to find its identity after bad losses to North Florida and Gardner Webb, and they accomplished that against Penn State.  Then, they continued a strong Big-10 run that afforded them a couple of byes as a No. 4 seed in the Big-10 Tournament. They’re on a 10-2 ATS run, and as everyone in the conference found out, the two alternating 7-footers Purdue puts out there for the entire 40-minutes makes them a difficult team to attack. Penn State will have trouble again against the Boilermakers. Purdue -5.5 is the play.

More picks: Evening game selections are right here  

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