No. 9 Florida State vs. No. 8 Clemson, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN
Line: Florida State -1, Total: 123
The Don Best/Linemakers Power Ratings have Clemson more than 2 points better than Florida State on a neutral court, indicating some value on the Tigers based on today’s point spread.
The ACC tourney is being held at Greensboro Coliseum, and both Clemson and FSU received a first-round bye. The road team has won and covered both meetings between the teams this year. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four.
Florida State (16-15 SU, 16-12 ATS) has had a disappointing season, losing leading scorer Aaron Thomas to eligibility issues after just six games. However, this has been a great ATS team down the stretch at 11-2 (7-6 SU).
Clemson (16-14 SU, 13-13 ATS) is just 1-4 SU and ATS in its last five games. This is a very low-scoring outfit (59.6 PPG) that doesn’t give up a lot of points (61.7 PPG). The UNDER was 12-2 in its first 14 ACC games, before the OVER closed at 4-0. The last four games included tough tests at Duke (78-56 loss) and Notre Dame (81-67 loss).
No. 9 Washington State vs. No. 8 California, 3 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network
Line: California -3.5 Total: 146
The Pac-12 Tournament takes place at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. The road team has won and covered both meetings this year. The OVER went 2-0 and is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings overall.
Washington State (13-17 SU, 15-14-1 ATS) has covered the spread in its last four games (2-2 SU). This was easily the worst defensive team during conference play (78.1 PPG), but has allowed a lower 70.5 PPG in regulation the last four games (the UNDER 3-1).
California (17-14 SU, 14-17 ATS) has faded down the stretch in losing five of its last six (3-3 ATS). The defense has struggled over that span (76.2 PPG), helping the OVER go 5-1, and will need to slow down the inside-outside duo of DaVonte Lacy (17.2 PPG) and Josh Hawkinson (14.7 PPG).
No. 13 Penn State vs. No. 12 Nebraska, 4:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2
Line: Penn State -2, Total: 118.5
The Big Ten Tournament is being played at the United Center in Chicago. Penn State won the first meeting this year on February 7, 56-43 as 3.5-point home favorites. The Cornhuskers were 4-0 ATS in the previous four encounters.
The Nittany Lions (16-15 SU, 13-16 ATS) snapped a six-game losing streak last Sunday, 79-76 over Minnesota as 8.5-point road dogs. Senior guard D.J. Newbill (20.7 PPG) led the way with 31 points, although he’s streaky.
Penn State is still just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after starting the Big Ten season at 8-3 ATS.
The Cornhuskers (13-17 SU, 8-17-2 ATS) are on an eight-game losing streak (1-6-1 ATS). Junior forward Terran Petteway (17.8 PPG) leads the team in scoring, but has really struggled from the field (31.0 percent) during this skid. He’s dealing with a serious health issue in his family, which seems to be affecting his play.
Nebraska is 2-9-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
The Linemakers’ lean: Penn State ended a six-game losing steak by winning at Minnesota on Sunday as 9-point underdogs. It was only the Nittany Lions’ fourth win in Big-10 play this season, but one of those wins came against Nebraska on Feb. 7, 56-43 as 4-point favorites. Nebraska comes in having lost eight-straight, a streak that began with the loss to PSU. Nebraska has covered only once in its last eight games. Penn State -2 is the play.
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